표 10 금융규제 정책 3기간 분석결과(18개월)
구분 | 1분위 | 2분위 | 3분위 | 4분위 | 5분위 |
기본모형 | |
C | 2.6273*** | 2.6493*** | 2.6812*** | 2.6981*** | 2.7505*** |
(0.0079) | (0.0166) | (0.0099) | (0.0061) | (0.0081) |
Policy | 0.0784*** | 0.0854*** | 0.0776*** | 0.0984*** | 0.0629*** |
(0.0172) | (0.0208) | (0.0413) | (0.0201) | (0.0166) |
Region | -0.1091*** | -0.0230 | -0.0528 | 0.2733* | -0.0563*** |
(0.0371) | (0.0501) | (0.1586) | (0.1515) | (0.0083) |
Policy×region | -0.0255 | -0.0433 | 0.0628 | -0.0022 | -0.4195** |
(0.0553) | (0.0662) | (0.222) | (0.1649) | (0.0175) |
R2 | 0.2012 | 0.1342 | 0.1161 | 0.3321 | 0.2832 |
확장모형 | |
C | 2.3579*** | 2.2675*** | 2.4269*** | 1.9220*** | 2.2991 |
(0.6427) | (0.6913) | (0.8148) | (0.5283) | (0.9139) |
Policy | 0.0657** | 0.0928*** | 0.1280*** | 0.1587*** | 0.0683*** |
(0.0317) | (0.0206) | (0.0235) | (0.0295) | (0.0143) |
Region | -0.1420** | -0.1761*** | -0.1828 | -0.2471 | -0.0992 |
(0.0591) | (0.0490) | (0.1502) | (0.2536) | (0.0843) |
Policy×region | -0.0148 | 0.0345 | 0.0217 | 0.0904 | -0.0251 |
(0.0528) | (0.0615) | (0.0976) | (0.1487) | (0.0378) |
출생아수 | 0.0002 | -0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0002 |
(0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0001) |
인구자연증가수 | -0.0001* | -0.0003* | -0.0003 | -0.0002 | -0.0003 |
(0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
혼인건수 | -0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0002* | 0.0005* | 0.0001 |
(0.0002) | (0.0003) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) |
고용률 | 0.0041 | 0.0055 | 0.0029 | 0.0102 | 0.0043 |
(0.0105) | (0.0116) | (0.0136) | (0.0086) | (0.0153) |
매입거주지별 거래규모(타지역) | -0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0002 | 0.0003 | -0.0002 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0006) | (0.0008) | (0.0006) |
아파트 인허가 실적변동률(%) | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | 0.0001 |
(0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0001) | (0.0003) | (0.0003) |
아파트매매 거래량 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0002** | -0.0002* | 0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
R2 | 0.4397 | 0.4054 | 0.4506 | 0.5553 | 0.5056 |
주: ( )는 표준오차,
p<0.1,
p<0.05,
p<0.01.