표 5 금융규제 정책 1기간 분석 결과(12개월)
구분 | 1분위 | 2분위 | 3분위 | 4분위 | 5분위 |
기본모형 | |
C | 2.3873*** | 2.4183*** | 2.4377*** | 2.4487*** | 2.2878*** |
(0.0404) | (0.0214) | (0.0078) | (0.0082) | (0.0081) |
Policy | 0.0628 | 0.0440** | 0.0379*** | 0.0398*** | 0.0795*** |
(0.0523) | (0.0212) | (0.0089) | (0.0133) | (0.0128) |
Region | 0.0820* | 0.1280*** | 0.1340 | 0.3547*** | 0.1767*** |
(0.0481) | (0.0362) | (0.1268) | (0.1117) | (0.0081) |
Policy×region | -0.0628 | -0.0464 | -0.0525 | -0.0227 | -0.0765*** |
(0.0672) | (0.0466) | (0.1826) | (0.1087) | (0.0216) |
R2 | 0.1734 | 0.1648 | 0.2307 | 0.5001 | 0.4287 |
확장모형 | |
C | 1.6749*** | 2.2124*** | 2.0914*** | 1.6514** | 1.4123* |
(0.5189) | (0.4417) | (0.4146) | (0.5097) | (0.7050) |
Policy | 0.0505* | 0.0526** | 0.0229 | 0.0201 | 0.0059 |
(0.0288) | (0.0252) | (0.0253) | (0.0230) | (0.0254) |
Region | 0.0621* | 0.0387 | 0.0076 | -0.0246 | 0.0573 |
(0.0343) | (0.0428) | (0.0469) | (0.0463) | (0.0410) |
Policy×region | -0.0693 | -0.0685 | -0.0299 | -0.0362 | -0.0341 |
(0.0450) | (0.0487) | (0.0523) | (0.0599) | (0.0432) |
출생아수 | 0.0004 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0003 | 0.0004* |
(0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) |
인구자연증가수 | -0.0005** | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001** |
(0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0001) |
혼인건수 | -0.0001 | 0.0002 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | -0.0001 |
(0.0002) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0001) |
고용률 | 0.0115 | 0.0028 | 0.0052 | 0.0132 | 0.0154 |
(0.0001) | (0.0074) | (0.0069) | (0.0086) | (0.0122) |
매입거주지별 거래규모(타지역) | -0.0001 | 0.0001 | -0.0002 | 0.0002 | 0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
아파트 인허가 실적변동률(%) | -0.0005 | -0.0007 | -0.0009 | -0.0001* | -0.0004 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
아파트매매 거래량 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001*** | -0.0001*** | -0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
R2 | 0.4571 | 0.4604 | 0.5578 | 0.6902 | 0.6426 |
주: ( )는 표준오차,
p<0.1,
p<0.05,
p<0.01.