표 5 금융규제 정책 1기간 분석 결과(12개월)

구분 1분위 2분위 3분위 4분위 5분위
기본모형
C 2.3873*** 2.4183*** 2.4377*** 2.4487*** 2.2878***
(0.0404) (0.0214) (0.0078) (0.0082) (0.0081)
Policy 0.0628 0.0440** 0.0379*** 0.0398*** 0.0795***
(0.0523) (0.0212) (0.0089) (0.0133) (0.0128)
Region 0.0820* 0.1280*** 0.1340 0.3547*** 0.1767***
(0.0481) (0.0362) (0.1268) (0.1117) (0.0081)
Policy×region -0.0628 -0.0464 -0.0525 -0.0227 -0.0765***
(0.0672) (0.0466) (0.1826) (0.1087) (0.0216)
R2 0.1734 0.1648 0.2307 0.5001 0.4287
확장모형
C 1.6749*** 2.2124*** 2.0914*** 1.6514** 1.4123*
(0.5189) (0.4417) (0.4146) (0.5097) (0.7050)
Policy 0.0505* 0.0526** 0.0229 0.0201 0.0059
(0.0288) (0.0252) (0.0253) (0.0230) (0.0254)
Region 0.0621* 0.0387 0.0076 -0.0246 0.0573
(0.0343) (0.0428) (0.0469) (0.0463) (0.0410)
Policy×region -0.0693 -0.0685 -0.0299 -0.0362 -0.0341
(0.0450) (0.0487) (0.0523) (0.0599) (0.0432)
출생아수 0.0004 0.0001 0.0001 0.0003 0.0004*
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002)
인구자연증가수 -0.0005** -0.0001 -0.0001 -0.0001 -0.0001**
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0001) (0.0002) (0.0001)
혼인건수 -0.0001 0.0002 0.0001 0.0001 -0.0001
(0.0002) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0002) (0.0001)
고용률 0.0115 0.0028 0.0052 0.0132 0.0154
(0.0001) (0.0074) (0.0069) (0.0086) (0.0122)
매입거주지별 거래규모(타지역) -0.0001 0.0001 -0.0002 0.0002 0.0001
(0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001)
아파트 인허가 실적변동률(%) -0.0005 -0.0007 -0.0009 -0.0001* -0.0004
(0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001)
아파트매매 거래량 -0.0001 -0.0001 -0.0001*** -0.0001*** -0.0001
(0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001)
R2 0.4571 0.4604 0.5578 0.6902 0.6426
주: ( )는 표준오차,
p<0.1,
p<0.05,
p<0.01.