표 6 금융규제 정책 1기간 분석결과(18개월)
구분 | 1분위 | 2분위 | 3분위 | 4분위 | 5분위 |
기본모형 | |
C | 2.3873*** | 2.4065*** | 2.4297*** | 2.4456*** | 2.2624*** |
(0.0384) | (0.0117) | (0.0089) | (0.0055) | (0.0084) |
Policy | 0.0628 | 0.0647*** | 0.0587*** | 0.0622*** | 0.1049*** |
(0.0571) | (0.0161) | (0.0142) | (0.0101) | (0.0095) |
Region | 0.0784 | 0.1420*** | 0.1385 | 0.3578*** | 0.1544*** |
(0.0524) | (0.0391) | (0.1174) | (0.0990) | (0.0233) |
Policy×region | -0.0592 | -0.0694 | -0.0720 | -0.0487 | -0.0573*** |
(0.0613) | (0.0738) | (0.1902) | (0.1009) | (0.0210) |
R2 | 0.1521 | 0.1722 | 0.2351 | 0.4761 | 0.4156 |
확장모형 | |
C | 1.5818*** | 1.5378*** | 1.6748*** | 2.3422*** | 0.8753* |
(0.5185) | (0.3091) | (0.4436) | (0.4971) | (0.4837) |
Policy | 0.0577** | 0.0669*** | 0.0758*** | 0.0809*** | 0.0946** |
(0.0277) | (0.0182) | (0.0270) | (0.0195) | (0.0442) |
Region | 0.0477 | 0.0147 | 0.0072 | -0.0158 | 0.0671 |
(0.0487) | (0.0218) | (0.0273) | (0.0249) | (0.0714) |
Policy×region | -0.0571 | -0.0751** | -0.0624* | -0.0716** | -0.1439 |
(0.0628) | (0.0298) | (0.0337) | (0.0300) | (0.0893) |
출생아수 | 0.0001* | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001*** |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0000) |
인구자연증가수 | -0.0001** | -0.0001* | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001*** |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
혼인건수 | -0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | -0.0001 |
(0.0002) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
고용률 | 0.0130 | 0.0140*** | 0.0118 | 0.0009 | 0.0231*** |
(0.0088) | (0.0051) | (0.0075) | (0.0085) | (0.0085) |
매입거주지별 거래규모(타지역) | 0.0001 | 0.0002** | 0.0002*** | 0.0002*** | 0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0000) |
아파트 인허가 실적변동률(%) | -0.0001 | -0.0001* | -0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0000) | (0.0001) |
아파트매매 거래량 | -0.0001 | -0.0001** | -0.0001*** | -0.0001*** | -0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0000) |
R2 | 0.4231 | 0.4516 | 0.5472 | 0.6735 | 0.5838 |
주: ( )는 표준오차,
p<0.1,
p<0.05,
p<0.01.