표 7 금융규제 정책 2기간 분석결과(12개월)

구분 1분위 2분위 3분위 4분위 5분위
기본모형
C 2.5302*** 2.5490*** 2.5622*** 2.5728*** 2.4361
(0.0433) (0.0082) (0.0076) (0.0047) (0.0105)
Policy 0.0224 0.0420 0.0588* 0.0666** 0.0770***
(0.0463) (0.0260) (0.0213) (0.0220) (0.0107)
Region -0.1078* -0.0254 -0.0328 0.1916** -0.0164
(0.0610) (0.0499) (0.1173) (0.0715) (0.0106)
Policy×region 0.0035 -0.0282 -0.0273 -0.0537 -0.0658***
(0.0671) (0.0761) (0.1653) (0.1155) (0.0119)
R2 0.1708 0.0580 0.0772 0.3136 0.2368
확장모형
C 3.0972*** 3.4086*** 2.9239*** 2.5988*** 2.5866***
(0.8462) (0.7959) (0.6828) (0.7770) (0.5474)
Policy 0.0655*** 0.0584*** 0.0588** 0.0717** 0.0582***
(0.0205) (0.0210) (0.0235) (0.0285) (0.0182)
Region -0.0456 -0.0981 -0.1333** -0.1910*** -0.0457
(0.1135) (0.0732) (0.0659) (0.0595) (0.1081)
Policy×region -0.0408 -0.0391 -0.0190 -0.0303 -0.0837
(0.1240) (0.0884) (0.0865) (0.0850) (0.1140)
출생아수 0.0004** 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0001***
(0.0001) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0001)
인구자연증가수 -0.0001** -0.0001 -0.0001 -0.0001 -0.0001***
(0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.0001)
혼인건수 -0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 -0.0001
(0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0002)
고용률 -0.0118 -0.0161 -0.0074 -0.0013 -0.0032
(0.0144) (0.0135) (0.0001) (0.0131) (0.0094)
매입거주지별 거래규모(타지역) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001
(0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001)
아파트 인허가
실적변동률(%) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 -0.0001 0.0001**
(0.0001) (0.0004) (0.0005) (0.0004) (0.0005)
아파트매매 거래량 -0.0002** -0.0002*** -0.0003*** -0.0003*** -0.0001
(0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001)
R2 0.4879 0.4399 0.4835 0.5996 0.5320
주: ( )는 표준오차,
p<0.1,
p<0.05,
p<0.01.