표 7 금융규제 정책 2기간 분석결과(12개월)
구분 | 1분위 | 2분위 | 3분위 | 4분위 | 5분위 |
기본모형 | |
C | 2.5302*** | 2.5490*** | 2.5622*** | 2.5728*** | 2.4361 |
(0.0433) | (0.0082) | (0.0076) | (0.0047) | (0.0105) |
Policy | 0.0224 | 0.0420 | 0.0588* | 0.0666** | 0.0770*** |
(0.0463) | (0.0260) | (0.0213) | (0.0220) | (0.0107) |
Region | -0.1078* | -0.0254 | -0.0328 | 0.1916** | -0.0164 |
(0.0610) | (0.0499) | (0.1173) | (0.0715) | (0.0106) |
Policy×region | 0.0035 | -0.0282 | -0.0273 | -0.0537 | -0.0658*** |
(0.0671) | (0.0761) | (0.1653) | (0.1155) | (0.0119) |
R2 | 0.1708 | 0.0580 | 0.0772 | 0.3136 | 0.2368 |
확장모형 | |
C | 3.0972*** | 3.4086*** | 2.9239*** | 2.5988*** | 2.5866*** |
(0.8462) | (0.7959) | (0.6828) | (0.7770) | (0.5474) |
Policy | 0.0655*** | 0.0584*** | 0.0588** | 0.0717** | 0.0582*** |
(0.0205) | (0.0210) | (0.0235) | (0.0285) | (0.0182) |
Region | -0.0456 | -0.0981 | -0.1333** | -0.1910*** | -0.0457 |
(0.1135) | (0.0732) | (0.0659) | (0.0595) | (0.1081) |
Policy×region | -0.0408 | -0.0391 | -0.0190 | -0.0303 | -0.0837 |
(0.1240) | (0.0884) | (0.0865) | (0.0850) | (0.1140) |
출생아수 | 0.0004** | 0.0001 | 0.0002 | 0.0002 | 0.0001*** |
(0.0001) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0001) |
인구자연증가수 | -0.0001** | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001*** |
(0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0001) |
혼인건수 | -0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | -0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) |
고용률 | -0.0118 | -0.0161 | -0.0074 | -0.0013 | -0.0032 |
(0.0144) | (0.0135) | (0.0001) | (0.0131) | (0.0094) |
매입거주지별 거래규모(타지역) | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
아파트 인허가 | |
실적변동률(%) | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | -0.0001 | 0.0001** |
(0.0001) | (0.0004) | (0.0005) | (0.0004) | (0.0005) |
아파트매매 거래량 | -0.0002** | -0.0002*** | -0.0003*** | -0.0003*** | -0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
R2 | 0.4879 | 0.4399 | 0.4835 | 0.5996 | 0.5320 |
주: ( )는 표준오차,
p<0.1,
p<0.05,
p<0.01.