표 8 금융규제 정책 2기간 분석결과(18개월)

구분 1분위 2분위 3분위 4분위 5분위
기본모형
C 2.5078*** 2.5415*** 2.5575*** 2.5705*** 2.4281***
(0.0353) (0.0107) (0.0064) (0.0066) (0.0095)
Policy 0.0496 0.0498** 0.0667*** 0.0758*** 0.0850***
(0.0358) (0.0226) (0.0127) (0.0125) (0.113)
Region -0.0854 -0.0163 -0.0281 0.1963* -0.0084
(0.0519) (0.0449) (0.0911) (0.1037) (0.0093)
Policy×region -0.0118 -0.0317 -0.0295 -0.0576 -0.0738***
(0.0494) (0.0616) (0.1439) (0.1680) (0.0128)
R2 0.1672 0.0635 0.0899 0.3218 0.2180
확장모형
C 2.7554*** 3.1820*** 2.8873*** 2.3371*** 1.9261***
(0.6463) (0.5095) (0.3252) (0.4575) (0.7246)
Policy 0.0526*** 0.0640*** 0.0714*** 0.0566** 0.0581**
(0.0192) (0.0191) (0.0150) (0.0218) (0.0227)
Region -0.0971** -0.1082*** -0.1356*** -0.1958*** -0.0994
(0.0433) (0.0332) (0.0314) (0.0367) (0.0619)
Policy×region -0.0716 -0.0424 -0.0359 -0.0183 -0.0984
(0.0515) (0.0451) (0.0419) (0.0466) (0.0637)
출생아수 0.0001*** 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001***
(0.0001) (0.0000) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001)
인구자연증가수 -0.0001** -0.0001 -0.0001 -0.0001 -0.0002***
(0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0000) (0.0001)
혼인건수 -0.0001 0.0001 0.0001* 0.0002** -0.0001
(0.0001) (0.0000) (0.0000) (0.0001) (0.0001)
고용률 -0.0056 -0.0121 -0.0068 0.0032 0.0079
(0.0109) (0.0086) (0.0056) (0.0079) (0.0124)
매입거주지별 거래규모(타지역) 0.0002** 0.0001* 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001
(0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.000) (0.0001)
아파트 인허가 실적변동률(%) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001** 0.0001 0.0001
(0.0002) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0002)
아파트매매 거래량 -0.0001*** -0.0001** -0.0002*** -0.0002*** -0.0001
(0.0000) (0.0000) (0.0001) (0.0001) (0.0001)
R2 0.4549 0.4133 0.4546 0.5742 0.4847
주: ( )는 표준오차,
p<0.1,
p<0.05,
p<0.01.