표 8 금융규제 정책 2기간 분석결과(18개월)
구분 | 1분위 | 2분위 | 3분위 | 4분위 | 5분위 |
기본모형 | |
C | 2.5078*** | 2.5415*** | 2.5575*** | 2.5705*** | 2.4281*** |
(0.0353) | (0.0107) | (0.0064) | (0.0066) | (0.0095) |
Policy | 0.0496 | 0.0498** | 0.0667*** | 0.0758*** | 0.0850*** |
(0.0358) | (0.0226) | (0.0127) | (0.0125) | (0.113) |
Region | -0.0854 | -0.0163 | -0.0281 | 0.1963* | -0.0084 |
(0.0519) | (0.0449) | (0.0911) | (0.1037) | (0.0093) |
Policy×region | -0.0118 | -0.0317 | -0.0295 | -0.0576 | -0.0738*** |
(0.0494) | (0.0616) | (0.1439) | (0.1680) | (0.0128) |
R2 | 0.1672 | 0.0635 | 0.0899 | 0.3218 | 0.2180 |
확장모형 | |
C | 2.7554*** | 3.1820*** | 2.8873*** | 2.3371*** | 1.9261*** |
(0.6463) | (0.5095) | (0.3252) | (0.4575) | (0.7246) |
Policy | 0.0526*** | 0.0640*** | 0.0714*** | 0.0566** | 0.0581** |
(0.0192) | (0.0191) | (0.0150) | (0.0218) | (0.0227) |
Region | -0.0971** | -0.1082*** | -0.1356*** | -0.1958*** | -0.0994 |
(0.0433) | (0.0332) | (0.0314) | (0.0367) | (0.0619) |
Policy×region | -0.0716 | -0.0424 | -0.0359 | -0.0183 | -0.0984 |
(0.0515) | (0.0451) | (0.0419) | (0.0466) | (0.0637) |
출생아수 | 0.0001*** | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001*** |
(0.0001) | (0.0000) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
인구자연증가수 | -0.0001** | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0002*** |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0000) | (0.0001) |
혼인건수 | -0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001* | 0.0002** | -0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0000) | (0.0000) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
고용률 | -0.0056 | -0.0121 | -0.0068 | 0.0032 | 0.0079 |
(0.0109) | (0.0086) | (0.0056) | (0.0079) | (0.0124) |
매입거주지별 거래규모(타지역) | 0.0002** | 0.0001* | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.000) | (0.0001) |
아파트 인허가 실적변동률(%) | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001** | 0.0001 | 0.0001 |
(0.0002) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0002) |
아파트매매 거래량 | -0.0001*** | -0.0001** | -0.0002*** | -0.0002*** | -0.0001 |
(0.0000) | (0.0000) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
R2 | 0.4549 | 0.4133 | 0.4546 | 0.5742 | 0.4847 |
주: ( )는 표준오차,
p<0.1,
p<0.05,
p<0.01.