표 9 금융규제 정책 3기간 분석결과(12개월)
구분 | 1분위 | 2분위 | 3분위 | 4분위 | 5분위 |
기본모형 | |
C | 2.6304*** | 2.6627*** | 2.6848*** | 2.6981*** | 2.6063*** |
(0.0174) | (0.0194) | (0.0097) | (0.0045) | (0.0069) |
Policy | 0.0633*** | 0.0549** | 0.0451*** | 0.0608*** | 0.0270** |
(0.0228) | (0.0206) | (0.0138) | (0.0098) | (0.0114) |
Region | -0.1116** | -0.0364 | -0.0502 | 0.2737 | -0.0902*** |
(0.0440) | (0.0528) | (0.1309) | (0.1527) | (0.0070) |
Policy×region | -0.0211 | -0.0215 | 0.0464 | -0.0002 | -0.0080 |
(0.0708) | (0.1028) | (0.1973) | (0.2132) | (0.0136) |
R2 | 0.2205 | 0.1066 | 0.0664 | 0.3575 | 0.3506 |
확장모형 | |
C | 2.3047*** | 2.5733*** | 2.2822*** | 2.5946*** | 2.7984** |
(0.5654) | (0.4317) | (0.6893) | (0.6057) | (1.1318) |
Policy | 0.0491* | 0.0645*** | 0.0793*** | 0.0895** | 0.0266 |
(0.0252) | (0.0224) | (0.0289) | (0.0359) | (0.0238) |
Region | -0.1615 | -0.1517 | -0.1762 | -0.2131 | -0.1041 |
(0.2247) | (0.1579) | (0.1826) | (0.2416) | (0.2369) |
Policy×region | -0.0002 | -0.0149 | 0.0594 | -0.0281 | 0.0146 |
(0.2052) | (0.1601) | (0.1345) | (0.1268) | (0.2100) |
출생아수 | 0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | 0.0001 |
(0.0002) | (0.0002) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
인구자연증가수 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | 0.0001 | -0.0002 |
(0.0003) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
혼인건수 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001* | 0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (00003) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
고용률 | 0.0052 | 0.0004 | 0.0057 | 0.0002 | -0.0033 |
(0.0092) | (0.0073) | (0.0117) | (0.0104) | (0.0188) |
매입거주지별 거래규모(타지역) | -0.0002 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.0001 | -0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0000) | (0.0000) |
아파트 인허가 실적변동률(%) | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001 | 0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
아파트매매 거래량 | 0..0001 | -0.0001 | -0.0001* | -0.0001*** | 0.0001 |
(0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) | (0.0001) |
R2 | 0.4881 | 0.4348 | 0.4496 | 0.6035 | 0.5964 |
주: ( )는 표준오차,
p<0.1,
p<0.05,
p<0.01.