표 5 30년 만기 MBS 도입 전·후의 만기별 스프레드 변화 분석
| (1) Spread1 | (2) Spread1 | (3) Spread3 | (4) Spread5 | (5) Spread7 | (6) Spread10 | (7) Spread15 | (8) Spread20 |
Intercept | 10.953** | 14.539*** | 20.157*** | 31.171*** | 33.713*** | 31.036*** | 40.700*** | 46.550*** |
[2.34] | [2.90] | [3.39] | [5.10] | [5.25] | [5.11] | [6.20] | [7.04] |
Maturity30 | 10.48** | 6.730 | 6.266 | -2.426 | -6.030 | 3.442 | 3.764 | 5.842 |
[2.32] | [1.39] | [1.09] | [-0.41] | [-0.97] | [0.59] | [0.59] | [0.92] |
Transfer | 2.047 | 3.053 | 3.291 | 2.171 | -1.234 | 4.704* | 7.044** | 5.101* |
[0.99] | [1.38] | [1.26] | [0.81] | [-0.44] | [1.76] | [2.44] | [1.75] |
Single | -0.524 | -0.301 | 1.658 | 3.270 | 2.495 | 4.918* | 4.706 | 5.447* |
[-0.24] | [-0.13] | [0.60] | [1.14] | [0.83] | [1.73] | [1.53] | [1.76] |
Yield | -0.389 | -2.397 | -0.588 | 1.803 | 17.809*** | -9.523* | -4.512 | -8.975 |
[-0.10] | [-0.55] | [-0.12] | [0.34] | [3.22] | [-1.82] | [-0.80] | [-1.58] |
KOSPI | -0.141 | -0.013 | 0.089 | 0.347** | 0.396*** | 0.459*** | 0.397*** | 0.370** |
[-1.35] | [-0.11] | [0.67] | [2.53] | [2.75] | [3.37] | [2.70] | [2.50] |
Bond | 0.069 | -0.145 | -0.303 | -0.542 | -0.069 | -0.939 | -0.467 | -1.050 |
[0.12] | [-0.23] | [-0.41] | [-0.71] | [-0.09] | [-1.24] | [-0.57] | [-1.27] |
HP | -3.555* | -4.412** | -8.512*** | -11.923*** | -11.454*** | -15.380*** | -16.692*** | -16.469*** |
[-1.75] | [-2.03] | [-3.31] | [-4.50] | [-4.12] | [-5.85] | [-5.87] | [-5.75] |
Year dummy | Included | Included | Included | Included | Included | Included | Included | Included |
Observations | 338 | 338 | 338 | 338 | 338 | 338 | 338 | 338 |
F-value | 46.60*** | 38.25*** | 33.69*** | 33.38*** | 37.35*** | 87.58*** | 82.80*** | 71.78*** |
Adj. R-squared | 0.765 | 0.726 | 0.700 | 0.698 | 0.721 | 0.861 | 0.854 | 0.834 |
주: [ ]는 t값이며,
는 각각 유의수준 10%,
5%,
1% 수준에서 통계적으로 유의적임.
MBS, mortgage-backed securities.