표 5 30년 만기 MBS 도입 전·후의 만기별 스프레드 변화 분석

(1) Spread1 (2) Spread1 (3) Spread3 (4) Spread5 (5) Spread7 (6) Spread10 (7) Spread15 (8) Spread20
Intercept 10.953** 14.539*** 20.157*** 31.171*** 33.713*** 31.036*** 40.700*** 46.550***
[2.34] [2.90] [3.39] [5.10] [5.25] [5.11] [6.20] [7.04]
Maturity30 10.48** 6.730 6.266 -2.426 -6.030 3.442 3.764 5.842
[2.32] [1.39] [1.09] [-0.41] [-0.97] [0.59] [0.59] [0.92]
Transfer 2.047 3.053 3.291 2.171 -1.234 4.704* 7.044** 5.101*
[0.99] [1.38] [1.26] [0.81] [-0.44] [1.76] [2.44] [1.75]
Single -0.524 -0.301 1.658 3.270 2.495 4.918* 4.706 5.447*
[-0.24] [-0.13] [0.60] [1.14] [0.83] [1.73] [1.53] [1.76]
Yield -0.389 -2.397 -0.588 1.803 17.809*** -9.523* -4.512 -8.975
[-0.10] [-0.55] [-0.12] [0.34] [3.22] [-1.82] [-0.80] [-1.58]
KOSPI -0.141 -0.013 0.089 0.347** 0.396*** 0.459*** 0.397*** 0.370**
[-1.35] [-0.11] [0.67] [2.53] [2.75] [3.37] [2.70] [2.50]
Bond 0.069 -0.145 -0.303 -0.542 -0.069 -0.939 -0.467 -1.050
[0.12] [-0.23] [-0.41] [-0.71] [-0.09] [-1.24] [-0.57] [-1.27]
HP -3.555* -4.412** -8.512*** -11.923*** -11.454*** -15.380*** -16.692*** -16.469***
[-1.75] [-2.03] [-3.31] [-4.50] [-4.12] [-5.85] [-5.87] [-5.75]
Year dummy Included Included Included Included Included Included Included Included
Observations 338 338 338 338 338 338 338 338
F-value 46.60*** 38.25*** 33.69*** 33.38*** 37.35*** 87.58*** 82.80*** 71.78***
Adj. R-squared 0.765 0.726 0.700 0.698 0.721 0.861 0.854 0.834
주: [ ]는 t값이며,
는 각각 유의수준 10%,
5%,
1% 수준에서 통계적으로 유의적임.
MBS, mortgage-backed securities.