표 6 30년 만기 MBS 도입 전·후의 기간 프리미엄 변동 분석
| (1) dSP20-1 | (2) dSP20-2 | (3) dSP20-3 | (4) dSP20-5 | (5) dSP20-7 | (6) dSP20-10 | (7) dSP20-15 |
Intercept | 35.597*** | 32.010*** | 26.393*** | 15.378*** | 12.837*** | 15.514*** | 5.849** |
[6.06] | [6.30] | [5.61] | [3.16] | [2.69] | [5.48] | [2.19] |
Maturity30 | -4.640 | -0.888 | -0.424 | 8.268* | 11.870*** | 2.400 | 2.079 |
[-0.82] | [-0.18] | [-0.09] | [1.76] | [2.58] | [0.88] | [0.81] |
Transfer | 3.054 | 2.049 | 1.811 | 2.930 | 6.336*** | 0.397 | -1.942* |
[1.18] | [0.92] | [0.88] | [1.37] | [3.02] | [0.32] | [-1.65] |
Single | 5.971** | 5.747** | 3.789* | 2.176 | 2.952 | 0.528 | 0.740 |
[2.18] | [2.42] | [1.72] | [0.96] | [1.32] | [0.40] | [0.59] |
Yield | -8.586* | -6.578 | -8.387** | -10.778** | -26.783*** | 0.548 | -4.463* |
[-1.70] | [-1.50] | [-2.07] | [-2.57] | [-6.52] | [0.22] | [-1.94] |
KOSPI | 0.511*** | 0.383*** | 0.280*** | 0.023 | -0.026 | -0.089 | -0.028 |
[3.88] | [3.36] | [2.66] | [0.21] | [-0.25] | [-1.41] | [-0.46] |
Bond | -1.118 | -0.905 | -0.747 | -0.507 | -0.980* | -0.111 | -0.583* |
[-1.53] | [-1.43] | [-1.27] | [-0.84] | [-1.65] | [-0.31] | [-1.75] |
HP | -12.914*** | -12.057*** | -7.957*** | -4.546** | -5.015** | -1.089 | 0.223 |
[-5.08] | [-5.48] | [-3.90] | [-2.16] | [-2.43] | [-0.89] | [0.19] |
Year dummy | Included | Included | Included | Included | Included | Included | Included |
Observations | 338 | 338 | 338 | 338 | 338 | 338 | 338 |
F-value | 46.95*** | 69.86*** | 76.11*** | 56.09*** | 38.92*** | 37.01*** | 23.13*** |
Adj. R-squared | 0.766 | 0.831 | 0.843 | 0.797 | 0.730 | 0.719 | 0.612 |
주: [ ]는 t값이며,
는 각각 유의수준 10%,
5%,
1% 수준에서 통계적으로 유의적임.
MBS, mortgage-backed securities.