표 3 ADF 단위근 검정결과
시기 | 변수 | 수준변수 | 1차 차분변수 |
Trend & Intercept | None | Trend & Intercept | None |
t-statistic | p-value | t-statistic | p-value | t-statistic | p-value | t-statistic | p-value |
2008∼2023년 | Unsold | -1.7029 | 0.7464 | -1.7252 | 0.0801 | -8.0383 | 0.0000 | -7.9095 | 0.0000 |
Sales | -3.6557 | 0.0279 | 0.7892 | 0.8825 | -2.6954 | 0.2398 | -2.5210 | 0.0117 |
Jeonse | -3.1497 | 0.0980 | 1.2966 | 0.9506 | -3.8926 | 0.0142 | -3.4538 | 0.0006 |
Interest | -1.6445 | 0.7716 | -1.1256 | 0.2362 | -7.8332 | 0.0000 | -7.7003 | 0.0000 |
M2 | -0.9335 | 0.9490 | 4.0061 | 1.0000 | -8.2251 | 0.0000 | -1.8335 | 0.0637 |
CPI | -0.9096 | 0.9517 | 2.8284 | 0.9989 | -3.7827 | 0.0196 | -2.3762 | 0.0173 |
ER | -2.9411 | 0.1521 | 0.4660 | 0.8144 | -10.3028 | 0.0000 | -10.3245 | 0.0000 |
LP | -1.5773 | 0.7982 | -0.7781 | 0.3779 | -2.7704 | 0.2103 | -2.5315 | 0.0114 |
시기 | 변수 | 수준변수 | 1차 차분변수 |
Trend & Intercept | None | Trend & Intercept | None |
t-statistic | p-value | t-statistic | p-value | t-statistic | p-value | t-statistic | p-value |
2008 ∼ 2010년 | Unsold | -5.2187 | 0.0010 | -0.9671 | 0.2915 | -2.7889 | 0.2113 | -1.9905 | 0.0460 |
Sales | -4.5820 | 0.0044 | 0.8875 | 0.8955 | -5.7176 | 0.0004 | -1.3217 | 0.1392 |
Jeonse | -1.3923 | 0.8452 | 1.3894 | 0.9559 | -5.0509 | 0.0021 | -1.4582 | 0.1328 |
Interest | -3.6835 | 0.0374 | -1.1241 | 0.2318 | -3.6036 | 0.0449 | -3.5514 | 0.0008 |
M2 | -2.0004 | 0.5808 | 10.3093 | 1.0000 | -5.3407 | 0.0006 | -1.4272 | 0.1403 |
CPI | -4.6592 | 0.0036 | 2.6943 | 0.9976 | -4.5325 | 0.0071 | -2.9602 | 0.0043 |
ER | -3.0438 | 0.1377 | 0.1575 | 0.7251 | -2.9048 | 0.1743 | -4.3985 | 0.0001 |
LP | -3.0431 | 0.1355 | -1.0545 | 0.2576 | -6.9688 | 0.0000 | -7.0907 | 0.0000 |
시기 | 변수 | 수준변수 | 1차 차분변수 | 2차 차분변수 |
Trend & Intercept | Trend & Intercept | Trend & Intercept |
t-statistic | p-value | t-statistic | p-value | t-statistic | p-value |
2021∼2023년 | Unsold | -2.4771 | 0.3365 | -2.1734 | 0.4880 | -6.3987 | 0.0000 |
Sales | -2.7549 | 0.2229 | -0.8319 | 0.9521 | -5.3985 | 0.0006 |
Jeonse | -3.1872 | 0.1044 | -1.5962 | 0.7721 | -3.8049 | 0.0294 |
Interest | -1.3807 | 0.8481 | -3.3996 | 0.0687 | -6.3996 | 0.0000 |
M2 | -2.2135 | 0.4670 | -3.0186 | 0.1425 | -6.0811 | 0.0001 |
CPI | -1.3652 | 0.8532 | -3.5826 | 0.0469 | -6.4424 | 0.0000 |
ER | -2.5131 | 0.3202 | -4.9338 | 0.0021 | -5.6510 | 0.0004 |
LP | -2.9945 | 0.1484 | -6.1672 | 0.0001 | -9.6697 | 0.0000 |
ADF, augmented Dickey-Fuller; CPI, consumer price index; ER, exchange rate; LP, license performance.