표 4 기간별 Granger 인과관계 검정 결과

구분 2008년∼2023년
Lag 1 Lag 2 Lag 3 Lag 4 Lag 5 Lag 6
F-stat F-stat F-stat F-stat F-stat F-stat
Prob. Prob. Prob. Prob. Prob. Prob.
Unsold⇏CPI 0.1220 2.0401 1.2975 1.4975 1.0168 0.9108
0.7273 0.1330 0.2768 0.2049 0.4093 0.4885
CPI⇏Unsold 0.7757 0.1656 0.1245 0.2792 1.2090 1.0564
0.3796 0.8475 0.9455 0.8912 0.3068 0.3909
Unsold⇏ER 0.0110 0.1955 0.5781 1.0300 0.7001 0.8443
0.9165 0.8226 0.6301 0.3932 0.6241 0.5374
ER⇏Unsold 3.8255 0.8292 0.9952 1.5660 1.4711 1.1011
0.0520 0.4380 0.3964 0.1854 0.2016 0.3637
Unsold⇏Interest 17.2205 1.5380 1.6774 1.2023 1.0832 0.9942
5.E-05 0.2176 0.1735 0.3115 0.3714 0.4309
Interest⇏Unsold 19.249 5.6272 4.1767 3.5761 2.8070 2.5242
2.E-05 0.0042 0.0069 0.0199 0.0182 0.0229
Unsold⇏Jeonse 172.0520 8.9565 7.6128 5.6342 5.5477 4.5850
3.E-28 0.0002 8.E-05 0.0003 9.E-05 0.0002
Jeonse⇏Unsole 2.8266 2.0802 2.9361 2.1699 1.7692 1.1602
0.0944 0.1278 0.0347 0.0742 0.1215 0.3300
Unsold⇏LP 5.3637 2.9120 3.0424 3.2233 3.0824 3.2088
0.0216 0.0569 0.0303 0.0139 0.0108 0.0052
LP⇏Unsold 6.7253 1.3725 0.9789 0.5490 0.5007 0.4865
0.0103 0.2561 0.4039 0.7000 0.7754 0.8178
Unsold⇏M2 14.3499 4.3364 2.9745 2.5360 3.9455 3.7040
0.0002 0.0144 0.0330 0.0418 0.0020 0.0017
M2⇏Unsold 0.6763 0.1985 0.1883 0.0768 0.4350 0.6720
0.4119 0.8201 0.9042 0.9893 0.8237 0.6724
Unsold⇏Sales 162.7040 11.8820 8.9515 7.1158 6.3632 5.3923
3.E-27 1.E-05 1.E-05 2.E-05 2.E-05 4.E-05
Sales⇏Unsold 7.9112 0.6651 3.3225 2.6632 2.3386 1.8682
0.0054 0.5155 0.0210 0.0341 0.0437 0.0889
CPI, consumer price index; ER, exchange rate; LP, license performance.