표 7 Johansen 공적분 검정 결과(2008년∼2023년, Trace)

Unrestricted cointegration rank test(Trace)
Hypothesized No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Trace statistic 0.05 Critical value Prob.** critical value
None* 0.4008 290.5408 159.5297 0.0000
At most 1* 0.2565 193.7574 125.6154 0.0000
At most 2* 0.2228 137.7487 95.7537 0.0000
At most 3* 0.1807 90.1098 69.8189 0.0005
At most 4* 0.1333 52.4359 47.8561 0.0175
At most 5 0.0675 25.3945 29.7971 0.1478
At most 6 0.0597 12.1930 15.4947 0.1479
At most 7 0.0030 0.5655 3.8415 0.4520
주: 1) Trace test indicates 5 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level.
2) Denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level.
3) MacKinnon et al.(1999) p-value(유의수준 0.05).